In the wake of the election, here is
what I posted on Facebook:
My friends: The election is a shock,
the people we will be hearing from will not be congenial to us. What
I will try to keep in mind is this: We have a moral imperative to be
optimistic. No one knows what the future holds; it's too complex to
offer predictions that will hold water. If we are optimistic, our
chances for positive outcomes increase. We need to take joy and hope
where we can find it, be it in little things or in big things. We
need to take care of each other as best we can. I believe in the
moral imperative of optimism!
By way of explanation, there are many.
Hillary did get the popular majority – just – so the technical
explanation of the skew of the Electoral College toward small, rural
states is significant. It's the second time in five elections that
this has happened, and the last time it happened prior to that was in
1888. This skew also biases the Senate, and is a major reason we
have had gridlock for so many years, and why we have had consistent
conservative politics as well. Even in the New Deal, FDR had to
accept segregation as the price of progress. Let the working man
(sic) advance – not so fast there, African-Americans.
Hillary also failed to turn out enough
of the Obama coalition – Nelson Polsby, the great American
political scientist at Cal once sat on the couch and told me,
elections turn on turnout. She couldn't do it. She got youth, but
not enough of them. My brother blames Bernie and Elizabeth Warren,
and he has some truth there, they definitely damped Hillary
enthusiasm. I blame Jill Stein, whom I revile as Ralph Nader without
the charm (snark, in case you missed it.) Special place in Hell for
her, she who prevented the first woman president this year, perhaps –
I'd have to see where her turnout was, and if those voters would have
gone for Hillary instead if Stein were not on the ticket. Or as my
brother Bob says, self-righteousness might not be all it's cracked up
to be. Or you could say, Hillary's lack of charisma took its toll.
But beyond all that, although
there are many explanations, and this might just be me, I think the
biggest thing that sunk Hillary was her taste for money, her
cupidity. I don't think she is a hypocrite, I think she is
sincere, but the optics of making all that money makes her suspect.
The Obama's stayed far away from the ethical line, way inside it.
The Clinton's stood on the very edge. I don't think they did
illegal things. But avidity for money is a funny thing.
When you're out of the White House, OK, make some money. Make
$10 million, $20 million, write books and give speeches. Fair
enough. But hundreds of millions? Goldman Sachs?
The King of Morocco??? Bill's
$17 million deal for being Honorary Chairman of some for-profit
education company? Hanging out
with people you shouldn't be hanging out with?
To me, that
conflict in word and deed could be the deepest explanation. It could
have killed enthusiasm of the Hillary voters and fueled deep
resentment among opponents. People don't look at policies, they
don't think things through, they process images through the filter of
their hopes and their resentments. The image of the Clinton's
just couldn't square with what their policies would be. They
became super-rich while espousing the causes of the poor, and
minorities. Chelsea - what the hell has she ever done,
although she was probably a competent member of the Foundation? -
lives in a $9 million very large apartment in Manhattan. She
seems like a nice person in public, but living large and espousing
the causes of the poor – well, I understand it, but it's bad
optics. Or, as Obama would say, “C'mon, Man!”
I guess I should
also mention Hillary's fractionating of the electorate, which I
always found irritating as well. Even in her graceful – and for
once persuasive concession speech with emotional closeness rather
than distance, Hillary continued with her list of the put-upon, and
still did not list the millions of the working class who were
the ones she lost! The stitching together had a missed spot that
wasn't small.
But, as I said,
through it all, I cling to the moral imperative of optimism. Who
knows what the future holds? I am deeply suspicious of the
comfortable Establishment, I was very impressed by Gretchen
Morganson's book on the housing bubble and how the Democrats fixed
themselves a nice money stew over at Fanny Mae. I'm impressed also
by my new Eisenhowerish depiction of health care would-be reformers
as the academic-institutional-corporate-governmental faction, all of
whose prescriptions for change incidentally benefit themselves. The
mantra of Trumpism could be, away with all that!
Maybe something
good will come of it all. If only.
Budd Shenkin
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